ZIM vs AUS win percentage stands at 82% in favour of Australia.
Key reasons:
- Australia have won both matches in the series by comfortable margins and have already secured the series
- Cooper Connolly has scored 129 runs in two innings and Australia's batting has produced totals of 294 and 356
- Australia have greater depth across both departments and Zimbabwe have lost 15 of their last 19 matches at Harare Sports Club
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ZIM vs AUS Betting Tips
Australia have dominated the first two ODIs and have already secured the series with victories by 59 and 84 runs. They scored 294/8 in the opening match before producing 356/6 in the second, while their bowling attack has consistently taken wickets at important stages. Zimbabwe have now lost 15 of their last 19 matches at Harare Sports Club, and Australia's greater batting and bowling depth makes them the stronger selection for the final ODI.
Cooper Connolly has been Australia's leading run-scorer in the series, making 129 runs in two innings at an average of 64.50. He scored 51 in the opening ODI before following it with an excellent 78 in the second match. Connolly has therefore passed 29.5 runs in both innings and remains one of Australia's most reliable batters during the tour.
Brad Evans has been one of Zimbabwe's most effective bowlers in the series, taking five wickets across the first two matches. He claimed three wickets in the opening ODI and followed that with two more in the second. With the new ball capable of offering some movement at Harare Sports Club, Evans should have opportunities to trouble Australia's aggressive batting order again.
Match details
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Match | Zimbabwe vs Australia, 3rd ODI |
| Series | Australia tour of Zimbabwe 2026 |
| Date | 20 September 2026 |
| Venue | Harare Sports Club, Harare, Zimbabwe |
| Format | ODI |
Zimbabwe vs Australia 3rd ODI prediction
Zimbabwe and Australia will meet in the third and final ODI of their series at Harare Sports Club on Sunday.
Australia have already secured the series after winning the first two matches convincingly. They won the opening ODI by 59 runs before producing an even stronger batting performance in the second match, winning by 84 runs.
The first ODI saw Australia post 294/8, with Matthew Renshaw scoring 109. Zimbabwe responded with 235, despite half-centuries from Craig Ervine and Sikandar Raza. Nathan Ellis was the standout bowler, taking five wickets.
Australia then raised the scoring rate significantly in the second ODI. Travis Head produced an outstanding 112, while Cooper Connolly scored 78 as Australia reached 356/6. Zimbabwe made a much stronger effort with the bat and reached 272, but Australia still completed a comfortable 84-run victory.
The series has therefore highlighted the difference in batting depth between the two sides. Australia have several players capable of producing match-winning innings, while Zimbabwe have relied heavily on experienced players such as Sikandar Raza and Craig Ervine.
Cooper Connolly has been particularly impressive. After scoring 51 in the first match, he followed it with 78 in the second to reach 129 runs in the series. He is currently Australia's leading run-scorer and has shown excellent consistency.
Travis Head also demonstrated his quality in the second ODI with a 112, while Mitchell Marsh, Matt Renshaw, Josh Inglis and Alex Carey give Australia further options throughout the batting order.
Zimbabwe have had some positives. Brad Evans has taken five wickets in the series and has been one of their most reliable bowlers. Newman Nyamhuri has also made an impact, while Sikandar Raza and Craig Ervine have produced important contributions with the bat.
However, Zimbabwe need a near-perfect performance to overcome Australia. Their bowling attack has struggled to contain Australia's scoring rate, while the top order has not consistently converted starts into big scores.
Australia could also rotate their squad now that the series is secured, but the visitors still have enough depth to remain strong even if some first-choice players are rested.
The conditions at Harare Sports Club should once again provide opportunities for both batters and seamers. Australia's ability to build big totals and their superior bowling resources make them the preferred selection.
Prediction: Australia to win.
Pitch report
Harare Sports Club has produced good batting conditions during the first two matches of the series.
Australia scored 294/8 in the opening ODI and then increased their total to 356/6 in the second. Zimbabwe also improved from 235 to 272, demonstrating that the pitch can reward batters who spend sufficient time at the crease.
The new ball can still provide movement for seamers, particularly during the opening overs. Bowlers who maintain good lengths should be able to create chances before the surface becomes easier for stroke-making.
Once the batters settle, the firm surface generally allows for reliable stroke play. The second ODI showed just how quickly the scoring rate can increase, with Australia passing 350.
The team batting first should therefore target at least 300. A total around 320-330 could provide a strong platform, while another score in excess of 350 would put considerable pressure on the chasing side.
Spinners should also become more relevant as the ball gets older, although the surface has generally remained good for batting throughout this series.
Toss Prediction
The team winning the toss is likely to bowl first.
The trend at Harare Sports Club has generally favoured captains choosing to field after winning the toss, with nine of the last 10 matches seeing the toss-winning team elect to bowl first.
Zimbabwe followed that approach in the second ODI, choosing to field first, although Australia responded by posting 356/6.
Bowling first allows the team to make use of any early movement before chasing a known target later in the day.
Key players
Zimbabwe
- Brad Evans: Evans has taken five wickets across the first two matches and has been one of Zimbabwe's most effective bowlers. His ability to strike with the new ball makes him a key threat.
- Sikandar Raza: Raza remains Zimbabwe's most experienced all-rounder and has already produced a significant contribution with the bat in the series.
- Craig Ervine: Ervine scored 59 in the opening ODI and provides Zimbabwe with valuable experience at the top of the middle order.
Australia
- Cooper Connolly: Connolly leads Australia's run-scoring in the series with 129 runs from two innings, including scores of 51 and 78.
- Travis Head: Head bounced back from a low score in the first ODI to smash 112 in the second and remains one of Australia's biggest threats at the top of the order.
- Nathan Ellis: Ellis has been Australia's leading wicket-taker and was particularly impressive in the opening ODI, when he claimed five wickets.
Probable playing XIs
Zimbabwe probable XI
Brian Bennett, Ben Curran, Innocent Kaia, Sikandar Raza (C), Brendan Taylor (WK), Craig Ervine, Wessly Madhevere, Brad Evans, Newman Nyamhuri, Blessing Muzarabani, Wellington Masakadza.
Australia probable XI
Travis Head, Mitchell Marsh (C), Cooper Connolly, Alex Carey, Josh Inglis (WK), Matt Renshaw, Oliver Peake, Josh Hazlewood, Nathan Ellis, Billy Stanlake, Adam Zampa.
Why Australia are the better pick
Australia have already demonstrated a clear advantage over Zimbabwe during the first two matches of the series.
Their victories by 59 and 84 runs have come through strong performances in both departments. Australia have scored 294 and 356 in their two innings, while their bowling attack has consistently taken wickets before Zimbabwe could mount serious challenges.
The second ODI was particularly impressive from a batting perspective. Travis Head scored 112, while Cooper Connolly followed his 51 from the opening match with 78. Australia finished on 356/6, giving their bowlers a substantial total to defend.
Connolly has been one of the biggest positives for Australia. His 129 runs in two innings have come at an average of 64.50, and he has passed 29.5 runs in both matches. His ability to provide stability in the middle order has added another layer to Australia's batting depth.
Head's century also demonstrated that Australia have multiple players capable of taking the game away from Zimbabwe. Mitchell Marsh, Matt Renshaw, Alex Carey and Josh Inglis further strengthen the batting line-up.
Zimbabwe's batting has been more dependent on a smaller group of players. Sikandar Raza and Craig Ervine have produced important contributions, but the team has struggled to build enough partnerships around them.
There have been positives with the ball. Brad Evans has taken five wickets in two matches, while Newman Nyamhuri has also shown promise. Evans in particular has been able to create problems for Australia's batters with the new ball.
However, containing Australia's batting has proved difficult. Australia scored more than 350 in the second ODI despite Zimbabwe winning the toss and choosing to field.
Australia also have considerable bowling depth. Nathan Ellis has taken six wickets in the series, while Adam Zampa and Josh Hazlewood provide experience. The visitors can also use Cooper Connolly as an additional bowling option, further increasing their flexibility.
The fact that Australia have already secured the series could lead to some changes in their XI. Even so, their squad contains enough quality to remain competitive against Zimbabwe.
Zimbabwe's home advantage and knowledge of the Harare surface could help them produce a closer contest, but their recent record at the venue is concerning. They have lost 15 of their last 19 matches at Harare Sports Club.
Australia's superior batting depth, stronger bowling resources and dominant performances in the opening two matches make them the clear selection for the final ODI.
Australia are backed to complete a 3-0 series sweep.
Bet on ZIM vs AUS today
Australia have already won both matches and have been comfortably ahead of Zimbabwe in the series.
Their batting has produced totals of 294 and 356, while Nathan Ellis and the rest of the bowling attack have consistently created pressure. Cooper Connolly is also in excellent form after scores of 51 and 78.
Zimbabwe's best route to victory is likely to be through their bowling attack, with Brad Evans having already taken five wickets in the series. However, Australia's greater depth makes them the preferred selection.
Bet on Australia to win.
