IND vs AFG win percentage stands at 84% in favour of IND.
Key reasons:
- India have already won the first two ODIs and have outplayed Afghanistan in every department
- Shubman Gill and India’s top order are in much better form than Afghanistan’s batting unit
- Chepauk conditions should also suit India’s spin options, especially in the middle overs
IND vs AFG Betting Tips
India have completely dominated this series and already have an unassailable lead heading into the final ODI. They chased 195 in just 22.5 overs in the opener and then posted 402 before winning the second ODI by 170 runs. That level of control, combined with home conditions and a much deeper batting lineup, makes India the obvious pick again.
Chepauk is one of the better venues in India for high-quality spin bowling, and Kuldeep Yadav remains India’s biggest threat in the middle overs. Afghanistan rely heavily on their top order to get them into the game, and Kuldeep’s ability to attack both edges against right-handers makes him a very strong wicket-taking option here.
Shubman Gill is in outstanding form and comes into this match after scoring 154 in the second ODI. He has looked in total control throughout the series, and with India’s top order batting around him so well, he is again the best candidate to go big in Chennai.
India’s batting has been excellent, but this line still looks slightly too high for a Chepauk ODI. The ground usually rewards disciplined bowling and smart batting rather than all-out power from start to finish, and Afghanistan’s batting has not shown enough consistency to make the Over especially attractive.
Match details
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Match | India vs Afghanistan, 3rd ODI |
| Series | Afghanistan tour of India 2026 |
| Date | 20 June 2026 |
| Venue | MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai |
| Format | ODI |
India vs Afghanistan 3rd ODI prediction
India look comfortably better placed heading into the third ODI. They have already wrapped up the series, but the gap between the two sides has still been clear, especially in batting depth and overall control through the middle overs.
Afghanistan have shown flashes, particularly through Rahmanullah Gurbaz and their spin attack, but they have not been able to sustain pressure for long enough. India, by contrast, have won the first ODI by seven wickets in a rain-shortened chase and then crushed Afghanistan by 170 runs in the second match after posting 402.
That kind of momentum matters. India have also won all five ODIs they have played against Afghanistan, which adds even more weight to the view that they are the much safer pre-match call here.
Prediction: India to win.
Pitch report
MA Chidambaram Stadium is rarely one of India’s flattest ODI batting venues, and teams generally need to build their innings properly here. The surface usually offers enough grip for spinners, especially once the ball gets older, which can make strokeplay harder in the middle overs.
A first-innings score in the 260 to 290 range could still be very competitive if the pitch behaves in the usual Chepauk manner. If India bat first and their top order fires again, they can clearly go beyond that, but in general this is a venue where smart batting matters more than reckless hitting.
Key players
India
- Shubman Gill: He comes into this game after a superb 154 in the second ODI and remains India’s most in-form batter in the series.
- Kuldeep Yadav: A major wicket-taking threat on a Chennai surface that should reward high-quality spin.
Afghanistan
- Rahmanullah Gurbaz: Afghanistan’s most reliable batter in this series and the player most likely to give them a strong start.
- Rashid Khan: Their biggest bowling weapon and still the player most capable of shifting momentum in the middle overs.
Probable playing XIs
India probable XI
Yashasvi Jaiswal, Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill (c), Ishan Kishan (wk), Shreyas Iyer, KL Rahul, Washington Sundar, Arshdeep Singh, Prince Yadav, Gurnoor Brar, Kuldeep Yadav.
Afghanistan probable XI
Rahmanullah Gurbaz (wk), Ibrahim Zadran, Sediqullah Atal, Rahmat Shah, Azmatullah Omarzai, Hashmatullah Shahidi (c), Rashid Khan, Nangeyalia Kharote, Allah Ghazanfar, Saleem Safi, Bilal Sami.
Why India are the better pick
India seem to have the more complete ODI side by a wide margin in this matchup. Their batting has been far more productive, their pacers have created early pressure, and their spin options look well suited to conditions in Chennai.
Afghanistan have quality players and enough skill to stay competitive in patches, but they have not matched India consistently enough across the first two matches. With the hosts already leading the series 2-0 and still looking sharper in every phase, India are the better pre-match pick for today’s India vs Afghanistan 3rd ODI prediction.
Bet on IND vs AFG today
India look like the stronger pre-match pick, and the best time to lock in value is before the market tightens closer to toss time.
Check the latest IND vs AFG odds on 1xBet
