India vs West Indies win probability stands at 85% in favour of India.
Key reasons:
- India have won both ODIs in the series, each by eight wickets.
- Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli and Rohit Sharma have all scored centuries during the series.
- West Indies have produced substantial totals but have struggled to dismiss India's top order.
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IND vs WI Betting Tips
India have won the first two ODIs, chasing targets of 296 and 406 to secure eight-wicket victories. Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli and Rohit Sharma have all produced major contributions, while West Indies have struggled to take wickets consistently. India enter the final ODI with a significant advantage, although possible changes to the playing XI should be considered.
Kohli has started the series in excellent form, scoring an unbeaten 139 off 88 balls in the first ODI. His ability to build an innings while maintaining a healthy scoring rate makes him a player to watch again in the final match.
Gill has scored 333 runs across his first two innings, including 110 in the opening ODI and an unbeaten 223 off 133 balls in Guwahati. His exceptional form makes him a key contender for the highest individual score, provided he gets sufficient time at the crease.
Match details
| Match detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | India vs West Indies, 3rd ODI |
| Series | West Indies tour of India, 2026 |
| Date | 3 October 2026 |
| Start time | 2:00 PM IST |
| Venue | Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, Mullanpur, New Chandigarh |
| Match format | One Day International |
| India win probability | 85% |
| West Indies win probability | 15% |
| Match prediction | India to win |
India vs West Indies 3rd ODI prediction
India enter the third ODI with an opportunity to complete a series clean sweep after winning the first two matches by eight wickets. Their batting has been outstanding, with Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli and Rohit Sharma all scoring centuries and demonstrating their ability to chase substantial totals.
The opening ODI saw West Indies post 295/7, with Justin Greaves scoring a maiden ODI century. India responded with 300/2, led by Kohli's unbeaten 139 and Gill's 110. The result demonstrated India's ability to handle a competitive target without losing control of the chase.
The second ODI was even more remarkable. West Indies scored 405/7, with John Campbell, Shai Hope and Amir Jangoo recording centuries. India then chased down the target in just 43.3 overs. Gill produced an unbeaten 223 off 133 balls, while Rohit Sharma contributed 101.
Gill's double-century highlighted India's extraordinary batting depth, while Kohli's experience and Rohit's attacking approach provide further options at the top. The West Indies bowling attack has struggled to contain India's leading batters, taking only four wickets across the first two matches.
India's main concern is their bowling performance. Conceding 405 runs in the second ODI will encourage the coaching staff to look for improvements, particularly in the middle overs and at the death. Kuldeep Yadav and Mohammed Siraj will be important if India are to restrict West Indies to a more manageable total.
Prasidh Krishna has been ruled out of the third ODI with a left hamstring injury, and Anshul Kamboj has been named as his replacement. With the series already decided, India may also consider giving opportunities to other squad members.
West Indies have shown that they possess the batting power to post a large total, but they need their bowlers to make a greater impact. Early wickets could change the complexion of the contest, although India's current batting form makes that a difficult task.
India remain the predicted winners, with the possibility of another high-scoring encounter.
Head-to-head record
India hold a 3-2 advantage across the last five completed meetings, according to the supplied series preview, and have won the most recent three clashes. The current series has further strengthened India's position, with two convincing eight-wicket victories.
The most significant difference between the teams has been India's ability to convert batting performances into wins. West Indies have scored 295/7 and 405/7 in the first two ODIs, but neither total proved sufficient to prevent defeat.
India's top order has consistently handled the West Indies attack, with Gill, Kohli and Rohit all scoring centuries. West Indies need to find a way to take early wickets and disrupt India's batting rhythm if they are to avoid another defeat.
Pitch report
The third ODI will take place at the Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium in Mullanpur, New Chandigarh. The venue has a limited ODI sample, so historical ground statistics should be treated cautiously.
The first two matches of this series have been dominated by batting. India chased 296 in the opening ODI before successfully pursuing 406 in Guwahati. West Indies have also demonstrated their ability to score quickly, with three centuries in the second match.
These performances suggest that batters who settle in could score heavily if the Mullanpur surface offers similar conditions. The ability to build partnerships while maintaining a strong scoring rate will be important for both sides.
For India, Gill and Kohli will be particularly dangerous if they carry their current form into the final match. West Indies will depend on their top order to provide another strong foundation, while their bowlers must improve their accuracy and consistency.
The limited venue data makes it difficult to establish a reliable first-innings par score. Conditions on match day should be considered before making decisions in innings-total and other pitch-dependent markets.
Toss prediction
The captain winning the toss may prefer to bowl first, especially after India chased down a target of 406 in the second ODI. Both teams have seen how effective India's batting can be when pursuing a total, and the Indian top order will approach the final match with considerable confidence.
However, the toss decision will depend on the conditions at Mullanpur. If the pitch looks dry or is expected to slow down later in the match, batting first and setting a substantial total could also be an attractive option.
For West Indies, bowling first could provide an opportunity to take advantage of any early assistance and put pressure on India's top order. For India, the decision may also depend on the team combination selected for a match in which the series has already been decided.
Toss prediction: The team winning the toss may prefer to bowl first, but the final decision will depend on the pitch and match-day conditions.
Key players
India
Shubman Gill: Gill has been the standout batter in the series, scoring 110 in the opening ODI before producing an unbeaten 223 off 133 balls in the second match. His timing, ability to accelerate and control against the West Indies pace attack make him one of the most important players to watch.
Virat Kohli: Kohli scored an unbeaten 139 off 88 balls in the first ODI. His ability to build an innings, rotate the strike and accelerate when required makes him a strong candidate for another substantial score. The over 45.5 runs market is worth considering, while remembering that any player-runs selection depends on his opportunity at the crease.
Rohit Sharma: Rohit contributed 101 in the second ODI, providing India with another proven run-scoring option. His aggressive approach at the top can put the opposition under pressure early and create a strong platform for the middle order.
Kuldeep Yadav: Kuldeep will be important as India look to improve after conceding 405 runs in the previous match. His ability to create opportunities through variations and changes of pace could be crucial in the middle overs.
West Indies
Shai Hope: Hope remains a central figure in the West Indies batting order. His century in the second ODI showed that he can build a substantial innings against India, and the visitors will need another strong contribution from their captain.
John Campbell: Campbell scored a century in Guwahati and demonstrated his ability to score at a high rate. A strong start from him could help West Indies put India under pressure during the powerplay.
Amir Jangoo: Jangoo also reached three figures in the second ODI. His performance highlighted the depth of the West Indies batting order and gives the visitors another player capable of making a significant contribution.
Justin Greaves: Greaves scored a maiden ODI century in the opening match. His availability and fitness should be monitored, but he offers an additional middle-order scoring option if selected.
Probable playing XIs
The following line-ups are based on the supplied match preview. The final teams may differ, particularly because India have already secured the series and could rotate their squad.
India probable XI
- Rohit Sharma (C)
- Shubman Gill
- Virat Kohli
- Ruturaj Gaikwad
- KL Rahul (WK)
- Ravindra Jadeja
- Gurnoor Brar
- Kuldeep Yadav
- Prasidh Krishna
- Nitish Kumar Reddy
- Auqib Nabi
Selection note: Prasidh Krishna has reportedly been ruled out with a left hamstring injury, with Anshul Kamboj named as his replacement. The listed XI therefore requires confirmation against the final team announcement.
West Indies probable XI
- Shai Hope (C & WK)
- Amir Jangoo
- John Campbell
- Keacy Carty
- Sherfane Rutherford
- Justin Greaves
- Roston Chase
- Matthew Forde
- Gudakesh Motie
- Alzarri Joseph
- Jayden Seales
West Indies may retain a similar batting group after their strong showing in the second ODI. Their main priority will be improving their bowling performance, particularly during the powerplay and middle overs.
Why India are the better pick
India have established a significant advantage through their performances in the first two ODIs. Their top order has combined attacking intent with the ability to bat deep, and Gill's unbeaten double-century in Guwahati underlined the challenge facing the West Indies bowling attack.
There are several factors supporting an India win prediction:
- Strong batting form: Gill, Kohli and Rohit have all scored centuries during the series, giving India multiple reliable run-scoring options.
- Successful chases: India have chased targets of 296 and 406 in the first two matches, demonstrating their ability to handle pressure while maintaining a high scoring rate.
- West Indies bowling concerns: The visitors have taken only four Indian wickets across the two matches, leaving them with considerable work to do if they are to challenge India's batting line-up.
West Indies should not be underestimated with the bat. Their 405/7 in the second ODI demonstrated that they can score heavily against India, and their top order has several players capable of producing big innings.
However, their bowlers need to find a way to take early wickets and apply pressure throughout the innings. Without a major improvement in that department, containing India's batting line-up will remain difficult.
India are therefore the predicted winners of the third ODI, although possible squad rotation and the uncertainty of individual performances should be considered.
Bet on IND vs WI today
India are the predicted winners of the third ODI after securing convincing victories in the opening two matches. Their batting has been the defining feature of the series, with Gill, Kohli and Rohit all producing centuries.
The match-winner selection is India to win at the supplied odds of 1.10. For individual batting markets, Virat Kohli to score over 45.5 runs and Shubman Gill to be the match's top batsman are the two additional options from the supplied preview.
Gill's extraordinary form makes him an important player to monitor, while Kohli's century in the opening match supports the case for another substantial score. These player markets depend on the batters getting sufficient time at the crease, so the final team selection and batting order should be checked before considering them.
West Indies have shown that they can post a large total, but their bowling attack has struggled to prevent India from chasing successfully. Unless the visitors can take early wickets and maintain pressure through the middle overs, India should have the advantage.
Final prediction: India to win the 3rd ODI.
