AUS vs BAN win percentage stands at 83% in favour of AUS.
Key reasons:
- Australia have lost only one of their last 10 home Tests.
- Bangladesh produced a historic result in Darwin, but repeating such an upset will be difficult.
- Australia have an elite pace attack featuring Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc and Josh Hazlewood.
- The hosts have greater overall depth in both batting and bowling.
- Australia will be highly motivated to avoid a historic series defeat.
- Home conditions should suit Australia's experienced quick bowlers.
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AUS vs BAN Betting Tips
Australia suffered a shock defeat in the opening Test, but they remain strong favourites to level the series at home. The hosts have lost only one of their last 10 home Tests and possess a world-class pace attack featuring Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc and Josh Hazlewood.
Matt Renshaw has been recalled after Jake Weatherald was dropped following the opening Test. He earned his opportunity on the back of a strong Sheffield Shield season, scoring 499 runs at an average of 49.90. Australia need a much stronger performance from their top order after being dismissed for just 198 in the first innings in Darwin. Renshaw has a major opportunity to make an immediate impact, and a line of 27.5 runs looks achievable if he can negotiate the new ball.
Mehidy Hasan Miraz was one of Bangladesh's standout performers in the first Test and picked up a five-wicket haul in Australia's second innings. He remains Bangladesh's most reliable all-round bowling option and will arrive in Mackay with plenty of confidence. The Great Barrier Reef Arena surface is expected to assist the quicker bowlers early before becoming easier for batting. As the pitch wears, however, the spinners could become increasingly influential. That gives Mehidy a realistic opportunity to take five or more wickets across the match.
Match details
| Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Match | Australia vs Bangladesh, 2nd Test |
| Series | Bangladesh tour of Australia 2026 |
| Date | 22 August 2026 |
| Venue | Great Barrier Reef Arena, South Mackay |
| Format | Test |
Australia vs Bangladesh prediction
Australia will look to avoid a historic series defeat when they face Bangladesh in the second and final Test in Mackay.
Bangladesh stunned Australia in the opening Test in Darwin, winning by nine wickets to take a 1-0 lead in the two-match series. The visitors now have an opportunity to complete one of the biggest achievements in their Test history, while Australia must win to level the series.
The opening defeat was one of Australia's most surprising recent results. The hosts were dismissed for just 198 in the first innings and failed to recover after Bangladesh built a substantial lead.
Australia have responded by making a change at the top of the order. Jake Weatherald has been dropped after scores of 23 and 0, with Matt Renshaw recalled to the squad. Renshaw is expected to open alongside Travis Head and has an important opportunity to establish himself.
Steve Smith, Marnus Labuschagne and Cameron Green remain central to Australia's batting plans. Green was one of the positives from the first Test after scoring a century in the second innings, but Australia need far greater contributions from their top order in Mackay.
Bangladesh will arrive with enormous confidence after their historic victory. However, Australia remain exceptionally difficult to beat at home and have the pace resources to respond strongly.
Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc and Josh Hazlewood give Australia one of the strongest fast-bowling attacks in world cricket. With home conditions expected to provide assistance early in the match, the hosts have the bowling depth required to put Bangladesh under sustained pressure.
Prediction: Australia to win.
Pitch report
The Great Barrier Reef Arena in Mackay will host its first-ever men's Test match, making the surface something of an unknown quantity.
The pitch is expected to offer assistance to the quicker bowlers early in the match. The new ball could move around during the opening sessions, particularly if cloud cover is present.
Batsmen will need to show patience against the new ball and avoid taking unnecessary risks before conditions become easier. As the surface dries out, batting should improve, while the spinners could become increasingly important later in the match.
The weather in Mackay is expected to remain warm, although cloud cover could provide additional assistance to the seamers at different stages.
Key players
Australia
- Steve Smith: Australia's most experienced batsman and a crucial player in the middle order.
- Cameron Green: Scored a century in the second innings of the opening Test and remains one of Australia's most important all-rounders.
- Matt Renshaw: The recalled opener has a major opportunity to make an immediate impact after a strong Sheffield Shield season.
- Pat Cummins: Australia's captain and leader of an experienced pace attack that should enjoy the conditions.
- Mitchell Starc: His pace and ability to generate movement with the new ball could make him a major threat early in the Test.
Bangladesh
- Mehidy Hasan Miraz: One of Bangladesh's key all-rounders and a major threat after his five-wicket haul in the opening Test.
- Najmul Hossain Shanto: Bangladesh's captain and an important player in providing stability to the batting order.
- Mushfiqur Rahim: One of the most experienced players in the side and a key middle-order batter.
- Taskin Ahmed: Bangladesh's leader in the pace department and an important wicket-taking option.
- Hasan Mahmud: Produced an excellent performance in the first Test and will look to trouble Australia again.
Probable playing XIs
Australia probable XI
Travis Head, Matt Renshaw, Marnus Labuschagne, Steve Smith, Alex Carey (WK), Cameron Green, Beau Webster, Pat Cummins (C), Mitchell Starc, Josh Hazlewood, Nathan Lyon.
Bangladesh probable XI
Tanzid Hasan, Shadman Islam, Najmul Hossain Shanto (C), Mominul Haque, Mushfiqur Rahim, Litton Das (WK), Mehidy Hasan Miraz, Taijul Islam, Taskin Ahmed, Hasan Mahmud, Ebadot Hossain.
Toss prediction
The team winning the toss is likely to bat first.
The Mackay surface is expected to provide assistance to the quicker bowlers early, but scoreboard pressure could become increasingly important as the match progresses. Both teams will want to establish a strong first-innings total and put the opposition under pressure.
Why Australia are the better pick
Australia have several important advantages heading into the series decider.
- Australia have lost only one of their last 10 home Tests.
- The hosts will be highly motivated after the shock defeat in Darwin.
- Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc and Josh Hazlewood form one of the strongest pace attacks in world cricket.
- Steve Smith, Marnus Labuschagne and Cameron Green give Australia significant quality in the batting order.
- Cameron Green scored a century in the second innings of the opening Test.
- Matt Renshaw has been recalled after an impressive Sheffield Shield season.
- Home conditions should suit Australia's experienced fast bowlers.
- Australia have greater overall depth across both departments.
Bangladesh cannot be underestimated after their historic victory in Darwin. Their bowlers proved capable of exploiting Australian conditions, while Mehidy Hasan Miraz and Hasan Mahmud made important contributions.
However, Australia remain the stronger overall side at home. Their experience, pace resources and motivation to avoid a series defeat make them the better selection in Mackay.
Bet on AUS vs BAN today
Australia are our match-winner selection at 1.13.
The stronger value could come from player markets. Matt Renshaw to score over 27.5 runs in the first innings is an interesting selection following his recall, while Mehidy Hasan Miraz to take over 4.5 wickets is our preferred bowling market after his excellent performance in the opening Test.
Check the latest AUS vs BAN odds on 1xBet.
